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CONCEPT
uncertainty
the lack of knowledge regarding the likelihood of potential outcomes

Classified under Reasoning and Decision Making
Definition contributed by RPoldrack about two months ago.

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A match has been found on Neurosynth.org for this term.

Explore uncertainty on Neurosynth

MSharman Removed the beginning of this definition, 'the condition of being uncertain', which is uninformative. What remains does not seem like it has much to to with 'Mental Constructs', and probably belongs in the 'Tasks' section. Another new definition has been created for 'Uncertainty (subjective)' which I feel addresses more the point of having a definition of uncertainty within a Cognitive Atlas
about three months ago
MLewis I'm not sure how useful the current definition is either in the context of Cognitive Atlas. I can think of examples of uncertainty, as when a person encounters a stimulus at the threshold of perception, but I don't quite know how to write up a fitting definition to this end.
about two months ago
RPoldrack I agree with MLewis here - the current defintion is not describing a psychological construct, but rather a statistical one. I think that when psychologists speak of "uncertainty" they necessarily mean "subjective uncertainty".
about two months ago
NPicchetti Initial definition retrieved from http://www.thefreedictionary.com/uncertainty
about one year ago
JClithero Would be nice to have more broad definitions here. Not sure if a separate "ambiguity" concept would be useful, but a lot of concepts could be considered "uncertain" (e.g., "delay")...
about one year ago

Revision 5

Definition contributed by MSharman about three months ago:
(Statistics) the estimated amount or percentage by which an observed or calculated value may differ from the true value.

Revision 4

Definition contributed by MChen about ten months ago:
The condition of being uncertain; (Statistics) the estimated amount or percentage by which an observed or calculated value may differ from the true value.

Revision 3

Definition contributed by BGregory about one year ago:
The condition of being uncertain; (Statistics) the estimated amount or percentage by which an observed or calculated value may differ from the true value.

Revision 2

Definition contributed by BGregory about two years ago:
The condition of being uncertain; (Statistics) the estimated amount or percentage by which an observed or calculated value may differ from the true value. (from thefreedictionary.com)

Revision 1

Definition contributed by SAdministrator about three years ago:
No definition submitted yet

View Term Event Log
Term Event Log


2012-03-28 RPoldrack: RPoldrack updated the definition for uncertainty
2012-03-28 RPoldrack: Added curation flag. Reason: not a cognitive concept
2012-03-14 RPoldrack: Commented on discussion
2012-03-13 MLewis: Commented on discussion
2012-02-23 MSharman: MSharman updated the definition for uncertainty (subjective)
2012-02-23 MSharman: Added new topic to discussion
2012-02-23 MSharman: MSharman updated the definition for uncertainty
2011-08-12 MChen: MChen updated the definition for uncertainty
2011-05-23 JClithero: Commented on discussion
2011-05-10 BGregory: BGregory updated the definition for uncertainty. [view the changes at http://cognitiveatlas.org/term/uncertainty]
2011-05-05 NPicchetti: Added new topic to discussion
2010-05-10 BGregory: BGregory updated the definition for uncertainty. [view the changes at http://www.cognitiveatlas.org/term/uncertainty]
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